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Cloud Call Center Community Featured Article

TMCNet: IE Market Research Corporation: The Mexican wireless market will have 107.8 million subscribers in 2013 with market share of Telcel declining to 71.1%, according to new market research report by IEMR

[November 27, 2009]

IE Market Research Corporation: The Mexican wireless market will have 107.8 million subscribers in 2013 with market share of Telcel declining to 71.1%, according to new market research report by IEMR

Vancouver, Nov 27, 2009 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) -- IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR), the Canadian-based provider of market intelligence services, announced today the release of its 4Q09 Mexico Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013.

"We expect that total wireless subscribers in Mexico will increase from 77.9 million in 2008 to 107.8 million in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "Given the latest quarter numbers, we forecast that the largest operator, Telcel, will see its subscriber base increase from 56.4 million in 2008 to 76.6 million in 2013. Movistar Mexico will remain in the second place with 22.9 million wireless subscribers in 2013. We also expect that Nextel International will have 4.49 million subscribers and Iusacell will have 3.82 million subscribers by the end of 2013." "ARPUs (average revenue per user) will be stabilizing in the Mexican wireless market from 2009 to 2013. Movistar Mexico will continue to receive the lowest ARPU in the country, but we forecast that its ARPU level will increase from MXN 133.16 in 2008 to MXN 144.30 in 2013. On the other hand, we expect that Telcel's ARPU will fall slightly from MXN 173.54 to MXN 171.45 over the forecast period, 2008 - 2013. Nextel, which receives the highest level of ARPU in Mexico, will see its monthly ARPU decrease from MXN 777.13 in 2008 to MXN 678.47 in 2013, according to our model," said Mr. Assanie.


IEMR's Mexico Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in Mexico - Telcel (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.), Iusacell (Grupo Iusacell SAB de CV), Movistar Mexico (Telefonica S.A.), Unefon S.A., and Nextel International. Notable highlights of the 4Q09 Mexico Mobile Operator Forecast include: * Telcel will continue to lead Mexico in market shares although our model predicts that its subscriber market share will decline slightly from 72.3% in 2008 to 71.1% in 2013. In contrast, we now expect that Movistar Mexico's market share will increase from 19.7% in 2008 to 21.2% in 2013. We expect that market shares of Nextel and Iusacell will be 4.2% and 3.5% respectively in 2013.

* We forecast that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will increase from 44.9% in 2008 to 48.5% in 2013. Telcel will continue to enjoy a higher level of profitability than the other operators. We expect that Telcel's EBITDA margin will increase from 52.4% in 2008 to 54.7% in 2013. In comparison, EBITDA margins at Iusacell, Movistar Mexico, and Nextel International will be 20.0%, 36.5%, and 45.0% respectively in 2013, according to our model.

IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1350&flag=1 Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast Telcel (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.) Iusacell (Grupo Iusacell SAB de CV) Movistar Mexico (Telefonica S.A.) Unefon S.A.

Nextel International Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011 PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY) SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR * MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR * DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) * MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR ** VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ** MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) ** MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) ** SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) *** SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *** CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR *** (EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *** EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD) ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) * VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) ** SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD) EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) *** * Available only for Telcel, Movistar Mexico, and Nextel International ** Available only for Telcel and Movistar Mexico *** Available only for Iusacell and Movistar Mexico CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research Tel: +1 604 327 4367 e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com ((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.

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